Atherosclerotic plaque in carotid arteries as a risk marker for cardiovascular events risk in middle aged population

Aim. To reveal the associations of carotid arteries atherosclerosis severity and cardiovascular events in mostly middle aged population.

Material and methods. In the study, 1100 persons participated of the ATHEROGEN-Ivanovo trial (substudy of ESSE-RF), age 40-67 y. o. All participants underwent duplex scan of carotid arteries (Samsung Medison MySono U6) with assessment of the number of atherosclerotic plaques (AP), maximum stenosis and total stenosis with calculation of gender-specific quintiles. With the Cox regression model, risk was estimated for combinatory endpoint including all-cause death, myocardial infarction, novel onset of coronary heart disease, stroke, any area revascularization. Median follow-up 3,8 years.

Results. The AP were found in 74,5% males and 58,0% females. In males atherosclerosis was more severe: maximum stenosis 27 (0-34)% in males vs 22 (0-58)% in females (р<0,001), total stenosis — 48 (0-90)% vs 22 (0-31)% (р<0,001) and plaques number — 2 (0-3) vs 1 (0-2) (р=0,000). There were 24 endpoints documented. 23 of 24 endpoints occurred in persons with at least any ultrasound marker value within quintile ≥3. Regression showed that if at least one ultrasound marker should have reached the quintile ≥3 (e. g., maximum stenosis ≥25% in men), than the risk of events from combinational endpoint would increase 8,5 times — 95% CI 1,12-64,76 (p=0,039). Also, coronary heart disease increases the risk 4,05 times  — 95% CI 1,46-11,21 (p=0,007), acute stroke 3,49 times — 95% CI 1,19-10,23 (p=0,023). The number of males with AP <25% was 15%.

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